The second week of my power rankings brings quite a bit of shakeup, following Shirin’s boot. That obviously hurt her quite a bit, but also dropped Spencer down quite a few spots. On the positive side, Deitz and Abi both saw big gains and would be positioned solidly if not for the upcoming split that takes us from two tribes to three.
Because of that, it’s hard to see how well these rankings hold up after next week. It seems likely that we’re going to see some massive shakeups. Therefore, I’m going to include a “most-likely” eliminated category at the end of this post. Anyways, on to the rankings!
19) Shrin Oskooi
Strategy: 2 Challenge: 4 Entertainment: 6 Total: 12
Shirin found herself on the outs this week after failing to come to Abi-Maria’s side after Peih-Gee and Abi had a fight. Shirin came into the season wanting to play with “logical”, “strategic” players and assumed that, on a season of second chances, everyone else would play the same as she did. Unfortunately, that’s not Survivor and Shirin’s failings in building relationships was her downfall. Plus, she didn’t help herself by screwing up the puzzle during the immunity challenge.
17(tie) Kimmi Kappenberg and Kass McQuillen
Strategy: 5 Challenge: 4 Entertainment: 5 Total: 14
Neither Kappenberg nor Kass did much this week besides listen to Savage talk about his spread of Playboy magazines. Oh, and how much he misses his wife, but I couldn’t focus on his story after he began by basically saying, “so my supermodel wife came in and my office was covered in Playboys”. What woman comes into a grown man’s office and decides, “This is something I want” in that moment? Very strange. Anyways, I’m docking Kapp and Kass a point because they had a lead heading into the immunity puzzle and gave it away, only for Joey Amazing to steal the show and win it for Bayon anyways.
16) Stephen Fishbach
Strategy: 3 Challenge: 5 Entertainment: 6 Total: 14
Fishbach continues to be solid confessional; however, I’m starting to seriously question his “Know-It-All” status. Your tribe has already branded you an Idol hunter and a schemer and instead of laying low and praying to the island gods, you keep bringing up the Idol. I get Fishbach, I do. You’re thinking that if more people are seen as looking for clues then the target slides off your back a little. However, you’re failing massively to read the social clues and actually assess the situation. It was obvious Jeremy was torn up because he misses his wife and trying to throw shade in front of Savage (someone who already wants you out, by the way) was the last thing you should be doing. Fishbach is playing pretty sloppily so far, but I think the split will help him quite a bit.
12 (tie) Ciera Eastin, Kelly Wiglesworth, Monica Padilla, & Tasha Fox
Strategy: 5 Challenge: 5 Entertainment: 5 Total: 15
Wiglesworth and Tasha join Ciera and Monica in the ranks of women who aren’t doing anything of note this week. Ciera, at the very least, had the moment where it was decided that she brings so little to her tribe athletically that she should sit out of the challenge. These people are barely playing right now, which means they’ll be super important post-merge…probably.
11) Keith Nale
Strategy: 5 Challenge: 6 Entertainment: 5 Total: 16
Much like the logjam of ladies at the twelve spot, Keith was almost invisible this week. I’m giving him a point in the “Challenge” category because he was deemed stronger than Fishbach in the Immunity challenge, so there’s that.
10) Spencer Bledsoe
Strategy: 4 Challenge: 6 Entertainment: 7 Total: 17
Spencer took an eight-point plunge this week, but, unlike Shirin, he’s still in the game, so he’ll take it. I actually think, regardless of the tribe split, Spencer’s in a good spot. He lost his biggest ally, which forces him to take a much more subdued approach to pre-merge game and play humbly. I think that helps the young lad in the short-term and sets him up for a solid run after the merge. That said, I think the split is going to take this a different way and allow Spencer to continue to try and dominate this season’s strategy. We’ll see if he’s successful or not.
9) Peih-Gee Law
Strategy: 6 Challenge: 5 Entertainment: 6 Total: 17
Peih-Gee gets some points here for continuing to be around, which continues to set off Abi and make for good TV. Plus, PG has found herself on the right side of the numbers twice in a row after the tribe has flipped. I think she and Jeff Varner have a shot at being a power couple that might just dominate the game.
8) Woo Hwang
Strategy: 6 Challenge: 4 Entertainment: 7 Total: 17
Woo impressed this week when he shut down Spencer and Shirin’s deal. I think Cagayan Woo takes that deal and gets burned. Woo’s shown some growth and him being straight up in his refusal to Spencer and Shirin was one of the best moments of the night.
7) Terry Deitz
Strategy: 7 Challenge: 4 Entertainment: 6 Total: 17
Terry the Challenge Beast has feelings? What? Deitz played counselor for Abi-Maria and that’s basically the reason Shirin went home. It wasn’t the biggest move in Survivor, but it’s small moves like this that win Survivor. Deitz is growing as a player before our eyes and it’s been a great experience so far.
6) Abi-Maria Gomes
Strategy: 4 Challenge: 5 Entertainment: 9 Total: 18
I don’t think Abi has a strategy outside of “piss people off”. Even before she flipped, her single move was to be annoying. Thus, I can’t give her any points for strategy, because she doesn’t have one. That said, only one person on this season has been more entertaining and he seems to plan on bringing Abi to the end, so, in spite of everything she does, Abi is in a great spot.
5) Andrew Savage
Strategy: 6 Challenge: 6 Entertainment: 7 Total: 19
Savage’s love of Playboy aside, I was impressed by his determination and will in the Immunity challenge this week. Savage struggled a bit getting over the A-frames, even falling off at one point. But then he dug deep and ripped his hands to shreds to get his team a lead in the box-pulling portion of the challenge. That showed me how bad he wants this. I don’t know if he’s strategic enough to get it, but, even at his advanced age, he’s a massive physical threat.
4) Kelley Wentworth
Strategy: 8 Challenge: 5 Entertainment: 6 Total: 19
Kelley did not actually do much this week and that’s what gets her so high on the list. It would’ve been easy to see her trying to keep her alliance with Shirin and Spencer strong and hurt her own game in the process. However, she immediately flipped with the numbers and voted out her alliance. Staying with the numbers this early is key and, while it would’ve been great TV to see her use the Idol on Shirin and blindside someone like Varner, this move puts in her in a great long-term position.
3) Jeremy Collins
Strategy: 7 Challenge: 9 Entertainment: 6 Total: 22
Jeremy and the Alpha Males stayed strong this week and they continued to successfully put the target squarely on Fishbach’s shoulders. Jeremy also played a big part in Bayon winning immunity for the second straight week. He and Joe were constantly shown helping weaker teammates over the A frames and the Alpha Males absolutely destroyed the box pulling portion of the challenge. A solid week for Jeremy, all around.
2) Jeff Varner
Strategy: 9 Challenge: 3 Entertainment: 10 Total: 22
Varner is the best character on your television sets right now. Like Spencer said last week, “Jeff Varner is a crazy man”. Last week, he flipped on his pre-show alliance to vote out one of the few strong males on his tribe. This week, he somehow convinced them he would come back over and vote out one of the two major threats who had already successfully put together a majority alliance. Okay, good luck with that one Varner. No way it happens, but props for trying. Wait, what? Abi-Maria is another a fight? That’s not that surprising, but hold on. Is that Deitz comforting her instead of Shirin. That’s weird. Oh, now Abi’s flipped and Varner has her locked down? Okay, but I don’t think Peih-Gee would vote with Abi and Kelley seems locked with….wait. PG doesn’t care and will flip and Kelley is just going to follow the numbers? Jeff Varner you are insane, but it sure does work for you. Godspeed, you crazy animal.
1) Joe Anglim
Strategy: 6 Challenge: 10 Entertainment: 8 Total: 24
Is there anything Joe can’t do? He turns fishing nets into hammocks. He willed his do-nothing girls over the A-frames at the Immunity challenges. He beat Shirin and Spencer at puzzle solving. He builds his own fishery, for goodness sake! He is just better than you or I at everything in Survivor. And for all that work, he’s gone the second the merge ends. Thanks for playing Joe! Maybe you’ll get your Redemption Island season later on as a thank you victory from CBS.
Before I get into who I think is on the chopping block next week, let’s take a look at the spoiled split tribes. I’m not sure if these are completely confirmed, but potential spoilers for the rest of this post.
Angkor : Abi, Varner, PG, Savage, Woo, Tasha
Bayon : Jeremy, Kelly, Spencer, Stephen, Kimmi, Monica
Ta Keo : Ciera, Joe, Kass, Keith, Kelley, Terry
So, looking at these tribes there are some pretty obvious first boots among the new tribes. For Angkor, I think Savage is in a super bad position. Varner and PG are a mighty dynamic duo and they’ve secured Abi and Woo’s votes this past week. Varner is going to view Savage as a mega-threat to his immediate game and this tribe looks to be the weakest physically, so I would not be surprised to see them at Tribal this next week.
The new Bayon is very interesting. On one hand, I can see Spencer and Stephen forming a duo and going after Jeremy. On the other, I get the feeling that Jeremy will continue forward with his “surround and drown” strategy by teaming up with the women to come after Fishbach. While I’d love to see Spencer and Fishbach make a power couple, I think one of those two is the likely first boots from new Bayon.
New Ta Keo looks the most wide-open of the three new tribes. Joe and Kass seem to be in a somewhat stable alliance and I think they could easily bring in Ciera for numbers. Terry and Keith may bond over their age and old-school approach. Which makes Kelley the wildcard. My gut says the first out here will either be Terry or Kass, but who knows with this group.
Thus, in no particular order, I’m guessing Savage, Fishbach or Terry will be the next person out of the game. Will I be correct? We’ll find out next week.